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Write My Essay For MeIntroduction:
– Discussion of the existing literature
– Methodology: quite short, just enough to convey how you doing the analysis. Mention what is the unit of observation, time of analysis, what variables, what transformations are you doing with the available data, describe the independent variables, if it is a proxy for something, what is it supposed to capture, describe the endogenous variables, exogenous variables, what is the regression model (example: difference in difference)
– Preliminary Analysis – Statistics
The goal is to investigate the impact of the changes in the First Home Program in Romania on the price and quantity in the real estate market. The empirical strategy is based on a macro approach that exploits the variation at the country-year level. This approach will exploit time-series variations in the expansion of the First Home Program. The period of analysis ***) coincides with the Main Research Question: What is the impact of the 2015 change in the First Home Program on the price and housing in Romania?
Romania experiencing a downward trend in the housing prices as well as a significant reduction in the number of newly built homes and real estate transactions, thus the main empirical challenge is to separately identify the effect of housing policy change from the existing trends going on.
Therefore, I will form a difference and difference estimate of the impact of housing policy change that affected Romania in 2015, using Bulgaria as the control group. Introduce the reason why Bulgaria is appropriate for difference in difference analysts with Romania. The 2015 change meant that first home buyers are allowed to buy a second home with this program, with the condition to sell the first one. (more research needed on this)
More specifically, we will estimate the real price and quantity on all exogenous variables affecting the demand and supply in the housing market. The variables used for the regression equations for housing price and quantity are:
Wages- low skilled- affecting the supply
GDP per capita PPP – affecting the demand
GDP per capita
Unemployment Rate
CPI – unskilled wage divided by the CPI= real wage
Deposit Interest Facility Rate
Money Supply M2
Interest Rate
Wages Manufacturing – affecting the demand
Wages high Skilled
Price housing index
Romania Exports -measure of how rich the country is
Exchange Rate
Sales Tax Rate
2015 change in the First home Program in Romania – the most important exogenous variable – dummy variable for 2016, 2017, 2018
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